tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-74210087468302077972023-11-15T10:30:21.675-08:00STOCKVIEWUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger19125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-9376095022594021902008-12-06T23:04:00.000-08:002008-12-06T23:11:54.424-08:00GET READY FOR WORST ECONOMIC DECADE OF YOUR LIFETIME!Now that most dumb American analyst accepted that America is in recession since 2007!<br />(Which I predicted in 2007 itself)<br /> Its interesting that same dumb analyst think that this Recession will be short and fast!<br />But it will be optimistic thinking to expect these dumb analysts to talk sensible.<br />According to me this recession will be deepest and longest ever recession America ever faced!<br />And the fact that it’s coming with deflation which is indicated by falling crude prices, there is high probability that America is unlikely to come out of it for nearly decade.<br />More so with fact that American government and central bank already fired all bullets and nothing left with them for future.<br />Most importantly world will face collateral damage due to American blunders and likely to go in deep recession except may be china.<br />Only silver lining is that countries like India are likely to come out it faster due to late entry in global mess.<br />There can be mind blowing rise in gold and crude prices in next decade to due to dollar collapse.<br />There can be total economic system collapse world over due to failing of artificial controls of so called great economic powers of last century.<br />There is good chance that many countries around world will go bankrupt and one may see more military conflicts world over due to obvious reason in next decade.<br />Get ready for worst economic decade of your lifetime!Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-42407034502576112092008-10-04T23:41:00.000-07:002008-10-04T23:43:01.586-07:00COMMUNIST REPUBLIC OF AMERICA....!Its real joke of century that America who was preaching free market to world for over century<br />Is now acting exactly opposite of what it used to preach!<br />Look at the actions taken by admistration and regulators for last one year which shows that Americans are getting worst than communist china in all aspects!<br />What is logic in free market economy of saving the investment bank and hedge funds with tax payers money?<br />Even china never done such things in past.<br />Biggest tragedy is that man of street is forced to pay for mistakes of some joker stupid analysts blunders of past decade.<br />Even more interesting is try to protect all mistakes of these funds managers with change in laws!<br />Why private bank and investment banks of USA allowed not to declare their real assets?<br />This is even worse than china even!<br />In fact its duty of international community not to allow these corporations to do business in there<br />Respective countries for lack of transparency!<br />Even more interesting is someone like Paulson who was teaching Asia in last financial crisis about<br />how bad companies should be allowed to collapse for their mistakes is busy nationalising Goldman<br />sachs!<br />I warned last year also the subprime crisis is just tip of iceberg contrary to what all world analyst were thinking and top ten American financial institutes will go bankrupt except may be Goldman sachs!<br />THAT EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENED!<br />Now with last doses of steroids that is fed cuts almost over this bailout is nothing but keeping economy on ventilator till something can be done.<br />This is just about end of American economy now.<br />I mentioned at start of year about beginning of end of American economy<br />If this last gamble of American government does not pays off u can surely see American economy going North Korea way!<br />THAT IS TOTAL BANKCRUPY IN NEXT 10 YEARS!Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-28393558191009728332008-06-28T15:16:00.000-07:002008-06-28T15:35:14.586-07:00WORLD IS SAME.......ENOUGH!As Indian and Asian market started tanking since jan (warning of which is given in 2007)one can find many things are changing for so called analyst,experts,fund managers,tv jokers....!<br />But <strong>WORLD IS SAME ....ENOUGH....!</strong><br />Nothing is changed in world in last one year as such....whatever crap arguments people may give<br />1.America was in recession and still same.<br />2.Too many fed cuts was wrong thing leading to commodity bubble and will continue to rise same way and real damage will be seen in coming months.<br />3.Efforts still on to keep so called artificial financial market in place.<br />4.Govts killing free market everywhere!(same people allowed these bubbles to form due to lack of regulations in place&also many other reaons.)<br /><br />Nothing is changed only thing that is changed it people realised they were wrong .....but too late now.<br />As happens with all analyst they <em>only know tommorrow why they were wrong yesterday</em>!<br />Its funny that same people who are laughing at 4000 nf target in 2008 when told at 6200 (by me)are now dreaming of 3700!<br />funny enough they woke up too late!<br />More interesting will be if nifty gives good pullback what these people will dream again?<br />I am sure they are capable of dreaming new high again in same year!<br />But may be nightmares of 2008 will haunt them for lifetime.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-73660631755537111922008-04-08T12:05:00.000-07:002008-04-08T12:29:01.707-07:00LEXICON OF FED CHIEF AND SO CALLED FINANCIAL ANALYST IS FUNNY..!Since last one year when we heard word <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">sub prime</span> and <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">USA</span> economic downturn we are hearing interesting lines from so called experts world over and also in India.<br />Lexicon used by fed chief is also funny most of the time.<br /><span style="color:#ffff33;"><em><strong>Some of funny lines are</strong></em><br /></span>Some downside risk to growth remains...!but we will grow at moderate pace!<br />We can see contraction in economy in short term , long term we are not ruling out more severe economic downturn but we expect better second half growth !<br />Chances are <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">usa</span> going in to recession are not ruled out but we are optimistic about moderate growth!<br />Some so called wall street expert saying we cant rule out mild recession!<br />Some <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Indian</span> expert said <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">valuations</span> looks attractive to buy but i am not buying!<br />What jokes above lines are.....<br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">USA IS IN RECESSION SINCE LAST ONE YEAR.PERIOD</span></strong><br />There is nothing like mild recession just like there is nothing like mild rape or mild <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">pregnancy</span>.<br />RAPE IS RAPE!PERIOD.<br />With USA going to worst ever economic crisis of <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">millennium</span> we will have very funny business news watching for next few years.<br />ENJOY!Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-51055752482133583342008-03-16T08:59:00.000-07:002008-03-16T12:40:09.818-07:00WORLD WIDE MESS...!As world is going in financial turmoil its interesting to note that so called financial expert made world to believe that picture is rosy for last year and <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">in fact</span> helped world to go in financial bubble which can prove to be fatal now.<br />Its more interesting to note that as <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">USA</span> is in recession since 2007 but none of the so called analyst from wall street of elsewhere are accepting that fact .<br />More childish is fed policies to keep <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">American</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">dominance</span> in world market that recession and credit crisis he is trying to solve with printing more money!<br />I am mentioned long back <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">sub prime</span> crisis has potential to take <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">American</span> economy to deep problems and so called analyst of <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">India</span> ignored it for too long and now people are paying for there mistakes.<br />As i mentioned six months back that money was parked for short term <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">India</span> and it was withdrawn much faster than it came now but more important is whats there ahead.<br />If fed chief does not brings sensible solution of the <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">American</span> crisis soon we can see world markets in huge soup in this year .<br />His so called solutions of past year have <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">potential</span> to take all world economies in recession only hope is CHINA ,which needs to take leadership role from USA in coming future.<br />India can be only bystander for time being.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-67046557297058450972008-01-31T08:50:00.000-08:002008-01-31T09:08:43.275-08:00FINALLY BUBBLE BURST....!The recent crash indian market was good wake up call for retailers.<br />First of all it was artificial rise from 4500 to 6300 without reason mainly compouned by fii inflow,operator manipulation,companies playing in market,lax regulatory watch and media hype.<br />This was bubble where retailer got in late thinking as real bull run and got trapped badly.<br />Important thing was that nothing was noted from people concern when stock gone five times in three days and tanked four times in two days.<br />Its casino royale!<br />Only problem was here game was not known to retailers.<br />This is not sign of mature market its sign of free gamble center.<br />Its interesting to know that people who were recommending stocks at 6200 are talking abt valuation suddenly.Many who recommened disappear from tv for time being and some news anchors who were singing growth stories some time back now telling abt valutions what a U turn.<br />Its like monkey story which is so famous about stock market&here retailer holding all monkeys!<br /><br /><strong>ITS TIME RETAIL INVESTOR DRAG PEOPLE CONCERN IN COURT AND ASK FOR ANSWERS SO THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN AGAIN!</strong>Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-56340096170279658682007-10-04T12:46:00.000-07:002007-10-04T12:57:48.499-07:00Book Profit For Once!As mentioned in last post <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">HNI</span> and many people saved by Fed chief .The excess <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">liquidity</span> from <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">fii</span> fired nifty at 5200 which was mentioned in 11<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">th</span> august post that close above 4610 will lead to 5100 plus in no time.<br />Now time has come to book profit in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">FNO</span> and cash positions at once.<br />As market is heading in super bullish zone which is more of bubble than any real bull run.<br />Market are more on <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">steroids</span> so its difficult to ascertain how long it will last.<br />As more flow of money from <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">FII</span> with any next rate cut may even take nifty to 6000 as dollars will be parked in EM for short term.<br />However there is risk that this short term <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">euphoria</span> or bubble may burst sooner than expected due to political uncertainty in <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">India</span>.So its better to book profit once and trade <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">intraday</span> for sometime.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-88818867088465242712007-09-06T13:49:00.000-07:002007-09-06T14:00:49.907-07:00Rescue Mission Stay Alert...!Market able to recover from 200 DMA with some support from DII as expected and taken up above 4250 with help of nifty operators .<br />This effort seems more pre planned than looks like as there was no triggers for such sharp recovery and importantly without FII buying.<br />This in turn seem to have helped intentionally or unintentionally to HNI who were stuck at higher rate with sudden sell off from FII.<br />The large caps are seeing systematic selling at certain level indicating false bull run.<br />Its important to stay alert and sell at high as market may see vertical slide now trapping investors this time.<br />One can short at every rise now keeping all time high as stop loss for 20% correction in short term.<br />If one is safe trader stay away from market for next two months.<br />Fresh longs only above 4550 in futures close for three successive days.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-85600903485786364852007-08-23T14:46:00.000-07:002007-08-23T14:53:45.828-07:00Alert-Market may crash anytime......!As explained in last blog all pullbacks are being used to exit longs by smart money.<br />All said and done political situation in <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">India</span> is not helping anyway.<br />American markets seem to be stabilised at around 13100 due to <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1"><em>steroid</em></span> injected in system by fed and govt.<br />But how long will it last?<br />American economy is most likely to go towards recession which is not great news for world.<br />India markets may see sell off in near term kissing target of nifty <strong>3900-3700.</strong><br />However with more negative news coming in next month even <strong>3550</strong> is not ruled out.<br />This market remains sell on rise market till it closes above <strong>4395</strong> for short term.<br />It will be prudent to book profit even in cash market and keep cash in hand for panics to come in coming weeks.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-21697145444620513102007-08-19T13:18:00.000-07:002007-08-19T13:32:02.979-07:00Sharp upmove expected next week...!As warned in earlier blogs there was massive sell of in last two weeks wiping of 2000 points <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">sensex</span> in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">toto</span>.<br />The <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">sub prime</span> issue is more serious than it seems like (warned about the same in last blog).It seems that it will get even more serious in coming days which can be seen from cosmetic acts of various governments to inject money and rate cuts.<br />Even <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">India</span> seem to be prevented from massive sell off due to <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">LIC</span>,DI(forced by govt!).<br />But fresh credit injection will maximum lead to sharp <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">up move</span> for 3-4 days due to short covering and may be some bottom fishing.<br />But its now clear that all the markets including <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">India</span> will see one more sell off if not more in very short term.<br />Advice will be stay cautious for short term traders if praying does not work:)<br />Long term investors got ideal time to buy <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">blue chips</span> now.<br />Maximum pullback expected will be around 4240-4300 <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">NF</span>.<br />Fresh longs should be avoided till next week.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-4818361532432274772007-08-11T08:01:00.000-07:002007-08-11T08:19:43.111-07:00Good month for Long term Investors.....rest can run way!As warned in last blog the market still sell on rise market .<br />The world market are going down on <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">sub prime</span> concern and rather than thinking on lines that central banks are lending money so it <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">might</span> get better...there is real chance that this may be tip of iceberg.<br />It wont be surprising to see another 10-15% correction world wide due to credit <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">crunch</span> and <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">India</span> even though with good growth rate remains <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">susceptible</span> for the same.<br />This may give real chance for bear market for short time till real domestic people pitch in the market.<br />The nifty downside target remains 4245-4150-4100-3900 in worst case.<br />However i <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">don't</span> see this picture for long time in <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">India.As <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">India</span> has got</span> domestic story which is intact.<br />So the nifty target for 2007 on upside remains 5100 once nifty closes above 4610.<br />Long term people can keep there cash bag ready for investment.<br />Short term trader can pray and play!Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-66155185728078781402007-08-06T13:16:00.000-07:002007-08-06T13:20:25.158-07:00Nifty may touch 4455 near termNifty made bottom of around 4245 in futures and around 14800 in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">sensex</span>.<br />This was expected level for correction in this cycle though 4156 still possible.<br />But as world markets are oversold and <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Indian</span> market as well nifty may see pull back <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">up to</span> 4455 in near term.<br />Use pull backs to exit long positions and book profits.<br />However if nifty closes above 4610 then 5100 is possible in short to medium term.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-69661716484313520692007-08-05T08:23:00.000-07:002007-08-05T08:31:02.723-07:00Indian markets get infection from Dow....As expected it started with unexpected hammering on one day with 150 points nifty.<br />Interestingly <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">fii</span> are using global weakness to get fair value for blue chips in <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">India</span>.They will short nifty and stock futures on every rise knowing <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Dow</span> will be weak for next 4-6 weeks due to <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">sub prime</span> rate concern.<br />For <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">fno</span> trader nothing much to play for as there are gap downs and gap up.But best will be buy on dips so that as trader u can book in pullbacks.Nifty may touch 4150 in worst case but fresh bull run is halted till nifty closes above 4610 in close.<br />Its great market for <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">stbt</span> and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">btst</span> in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">nf</span>.Play the game.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-63603598341798444262007-07-26T03:42:00.000-07:002007-07-26T03:46:55.871-07:00NIFTY RECOVERED AS EXPECTEDAs advised on messenger nifty tanked from 4635 to 4555 and again recovered to 4620 as said on messenger.<br />Sugar are ready to fire as told last week and educomp and petronet moving as pace which is outstanding.<br />Keep sl intact on weekend trading as profit booking is better option .<br />However 4555 should hold and uptrend is to continue possibly towards 4750 now!Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-24067694005649694072007-07-21T13:17:00.000-07:002007-07-21T13:27:53.348-07:00Nifty still looking good...Even though Dow crashed on weekend <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Indian</span> market are likely to continue its uptrend for few more days.<br />Nifty is likely to test 4610 in next two trading days with support on lower side at 4520 and 4485.<br />Any dip can be used to enter <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">front line</span> stocks for next series as no body is ready to give up this bull game right now,so play with them.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-59760685053308906832007-07-21T13:06:00.000-07:002007-07-21T13:17:02.824-07:00World Markets will Run Whatever the concerns...!Its interesting to see that many of the markets in world are creating new highs in last month and will continue to do so in few coming weeks.<br />However the artificial the rise may look and in some places coupled with great <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">out performances </span>by leading stocks ,there appears to be <em>match fixing</em> in most the market between the <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">managements</span> of top companies and funds who matters .<br />Its not surprising that retail guys are left out of the whole bull run and not ready to enter at this point.<br />Many of the news are floated in <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">India</span> markets as well is to increase the market <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">capitalisation's</span> of the company making mockery of the regulatory authorities.<br />Hardly anything <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">mind blowing</span> given by top ten companies of NIFTY and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">BSE</span> to the real investor.<br />Nevertheless its good for positional traders who know how to play the game.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-20689647817982839872007-07-19T12:10:00.000-07:002007-07-19T12:14:26.061-07:00NIFTY ON FIREAs mentioned yesterday nifty able to cross 4550 in futures in end.<br />So this gives clear edge to bulls for 60-80 points up move specially with speculative rise in reliance stock.<br />Now we are looking at around 4595 nifty at weekend .But be cautious at this point as longs needs to hedged with puts .Smart hand will always short when people are not expecting it.<br />Sudden drop of 150 points nifty with some negative trigger not ruled out.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-48081816831950436082007-07-18T14:29:00.000-07:002007-07-18T14:35:12.576-07:00NIFTY LOOKING GOODToday nifty recovered as expected in late afternoon gaining back all its negative from morning.<br />Now nifty looking good for 4700 with <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">sl</span> of 4380 in close.<br />Whatever might be valuations <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">indian</span> market set to go up in short term due to money flow.<br />Use dip to buy stocks in futures and use nifty <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">intraday</span> high to buy puts for hedge .<br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Tomorrow</span> we are looking at 4533 in futures(<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">sl</span> 4440) and if close above 4550 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">tomorrow</span> we are ready for next blast.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7421008746830207797.post-86322755538743182202007-07-18T14:24:00.000-07:002007-07-18T14:27:24.786-07:00Welcome to STOCK VIEWThis is just my personal opinion of stock markets.<br />People are suppose to take there own decisions on whatever they want.Unknownnoreply@blogger.com