Saturday, December 6, 2008

GET READY FOR WORST ECONOMIC DECADE OF YOUR LIFETIME!

Now that most dumb American analyst accepted that America is in recession since 2007!
(Which I predicted in 2007 itself)
Its interesting that same dumb analyst think that this Recession will be short and fast!
But it will be optimistic thinking to expect these dumb analysts to talk sensible.
According to me this recession will be deepest and longest ever recession America ever faced!
And the fact that it’s coming with deflation which is indicated by falling crude prices, there is high probability that America is unlikely to come out of it for nearly decade.
More so with fact that American government and central bank already fired all bullets and nothing left with them for future.
Most importantly world will face collateral damage due to American blunders and likely to go in deep recession except may be china.
Only silver lining is that countries like India are likely to come out it faster due to late entry in global mess.
There can be mind blowing rise in gold and crude prices in next decade to due to dollar collapse.
There can be total economic system collapse world over due to failing of artificial controls of so called great economic powers of last century.
There is good chance that many countries around world will go bankrupt and one may see more military conflicts world over due to obvious reason in next decade.
Get ready for worst economic decade of your lifetime!

Saturday, October 4, 2008

COMMUNIST REPUBLIC OF AMERICA....!

Its real joke of century that America who was preaching free market to world for over century
Is now acting exactly opposite of what it used to preach!
Look at the actions taken by admistration and regulators for last one year which shows that Americans are getting worst than communist china in all aspects!
What is logic in free market economy of saving the investment bank and hedge funds with tax payers money?
Even china never done such things in past.
Biggest tragedy is that man of street is forced to pay for mistakes of some joker stupid analysts blunders of past decade.
Even more interesting is try to protect all mistakes of these funds managers with change in laws!
Why private bank and investment banks of USA allowed not to declare their real assets?
This is even worse than china even!
In fact its duty of international community not to allow these corporations to do business in there
Respective countries for lack of transparency!
Even more interesting is someone like Paulson who was teaching Asia in last financial crisis about
how bad companies should be allowed to collapse for their mistakes is busy nationalising Goldman
sachs!
I warned last year also the subprime crisis is just tip of iceberg contrary to what all world analyst were thinking and top ten American financial institutes will go bankrupt except may be Goldman sachs!
THAT EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENED!
Now with last doses of steroids that is fed cuts almost over this bailout is nothing but keeping economy on ventilator till something can be done.
This is just about end of American economy now.
I mentioned at start of year about beginning of end of American economy
If this last gamble of American government does not pays off u can surely see American economy going North Korea way!
THAT IS TOTAL BANKCRUPY IN NEXT 10 YEARS!

Saturday, June 28, 2008

WORLD IS SAME.......ENOUGH!

As Indian and Asian market started tanking since jan (warning of which is given in 2007)one can find many things are changing for so called analyst,experts,fund managers,tv jokers....!
But WORLD IS SAME ....ENOUGH....!
Nothing is changed in world in last one year as such....whatever crap arguments people may give
1.America was in recession and still same.
2.Too many fed cuts was wrong thing leading to commodity bubble and will continue to rise same way and real damage will be seen in coming months.
3.Efforts still on to keep so called artificial financial market in place.
4.Govts killing free market everywhere!(same people allowed these bubbles to form due to lack of regulations in place&also many other reaons.)

Nothing is changed only thing that is changed it people realised they were wrong .....but too late now.
As happens with all analyst they only know tommorrow why they were wrong yesterday!
Its funny that same people who are laughing at 4000 nf target in 2008 when told at 6200 (by me)are now dreaming of 3700!
funny enough they woke up too late!
More interesting will be if nifty gives good pullback what these people will dream again?
I am sure they are capable of dreaming new high again in same year!
But may be nightmares of 2008 will haunt them for lifetime.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

LEXICON OF FED CHIEF AND SO CALLED FINANCIAL ANALYST IS FUNNY..!

Since last one year when we heard word sub prime and USA economic downturn we are hearing interesting lines from so called experts world over and also in India.
Lexicon used by fed chief is also funny most of the time.
Some of funny lines are
Some downside risk to growth remains...!but we will grow at moderate pace!
We can see contraction in economy in short term , long term we are not ruling out more severe economic downturn but we expect better second half growth !
Chances are usa going in to recession are not ruled out but we are optimistic about moderate growth!
Some so called wall street expert saying we cant rule out mild recession!
Some Indian expert said valuations looks attractive to buy but i am not buying!
What jokes above lines are.....
USA IS IN RECESSION SINCE LAST ONE YEAR.PERIOD
There is nothing like mild recession just like there is nothing like mild rape or mild pregnancy.
RAPE IS RAPE!PERIOD.
With USA going to worst ever economic crisis of millennium we will have very funny business news watching for next few years.
ENJOY!

Sunday, March 16, 2008

WORLD WIDE MESS...!

As world is going in financial turmoil its interesting to note that so called financial expert made world to believe that picture is rosy for last year and in fact helped world to go in financial bubble which can prove to be fatal now.
Its more interesting to note that as USA is in recession since 2007 but none of the so called analyst from wall street of elsewhere are accepting that fact .
More childish is fed policies to keep American dominance in world market that recession and credit crisis he is trying to solve with printing more money!
I am mentioned long back sub prime crisis has potential to take American economy to deep problems and so called analyst of India ignored it for too long and now people are paying for there mistakes.
As i mentioned six months back that money was parked for short term India and it was withdrawn much faster than it came now but more important is whats there ahead.
If fed chief does not brings sensible solution of the American crisis soon we can see world markets in huge soup in this year .
His so called solutions of past year have potential to take all world economies in recession only hope is CHINA ,which needs to take leadership role from USA in coming future.
India can be only bystander for time being.

Thursday, January 31, 2008

FINALLY BUBBLE BURST....!

The recent crash indian market was good wake up call for retailers.
First of all it was artificial rise from 4500 to 6300 without reason mainly compouned by fii inflow,operator manipulation,companies playing in market,lax regulatory watch and media hype.
This was bubble where retailer got in late thinking as real bull run and got trapped badly.
Important thing was that nothing was noted from people concern when stock gone five times in three days and tanked four times in two days.
Its casino royale!
Only problem was here game was not known to retailers.
This is not sign of mature market its sign of free gamble center.
Its interesting to know that people who were recommending stocks at 6200 are talking abt valuation suddenly.Many who recommened disappear from tv for time being and some news anchors who were singing growth stories some time back now telling abt valutions what a U turn.
Its like monkey story which is so famous about stock market&here retailer holding all monkeys!

ITS TIME RETAIL INVESTOR DRAG PEOPLE CONCERN IN COURT AND ASK FOR ANSWERS SO THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN AGAIN!

Thursday, October 4, 2007

Book Profit For Once!

As mentioned in last post HNI and many people saved by Fed chief .The excess liquidity from fii fired nifty at 5200 which was mentioned in 11th august post that close above 4610 will lead to 5100 plus in no time.
Now time has come to book profit in FNO and cash positions at once.
As market is heading in super bullish zone which is more of bubble than any real bull run.
Market are more on steroids so its difficult to ascertain how long it will last.
As more flow of money from FII with any next rate cut may even take nifty to 6000 as dollars will be parked in EM for short term.
However there is risk that this short term euphoria or bubble may burst sooner than expected due to political uncertainty in India.So its better to book profit once and trade intraday for sometime.